Summary List Positioning
Six-term incumbent Rep. Tom McClintock was forecasted defeat Democratic opposition Brynne Kennedy in California’s fourth Congressional District, Expert and Decision Desk HQ can report.
California currently has a “top-two main” system, implying that the top two winners of the main election go on the final ballot, regardless of their political party.
McClintock is a previous California state assemblyman and state senator, positions he held for 12 years. Before running for the US Legislature, McClintock ran for Office of the State Comptroller in 1994 and 1992, California governor in the 2003 remember gubernatorial election, and lieutenant guv in the 2006 gubernatorial election, losing in each and every single one.
In Congress, McClintock serves on the House Committee on the Judiciary and the Committee on Natural Resources, focusing many of his efforts on natural resource problems important to California. McClintock has actually sided with President Donald Trump 88%of the time in his voting record since 2017, according to FiveThirtyEight, and voted against the CARES Act for COVID-19 relief in March.
Kennedy is a previous gymnast and company owner of the software company Topia. She is a former columnist for the Financial Times and the author of a book on employee movement. Her campaign is concentrated on enhancing the Affordable Care Act, combatting wildfire risks, and modernizing the Department of Veterans Affairs.
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California’s fourth Congressional District lies in a totally inland part of east-central California, stretching below Truckee and South Lake Tahoe in Northern California to the location beyond Fresno.
Most of the district’s citizens reside in the fast-growing Sacramento suburbs, which have generally voted Republican but could be trending Democratic this cycle.
It is house to the counties of Alpine, Amador, Calaveras, El Dorado, Mariposa, and Tuolumne along with parts of Placer, Fresno, Madera, and Nevada counties.
In the 2016 presidential election, the fourth District voted for Trump over Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in a 54%to 39%split of the vote, according to the Daily Kos.
The money race
Kennedy has actually both outraised and outspent McClintock, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. Kennedy has actually generated $2.4 million, invested $2.4 million, and has around $65,000 in money on hand while McClintock has actually raised $1.9 million, spent $1.5 million, and has around $583,000 in money on hand.
What the specialists stated
The race between McClintock and Kennedy was rated as “safe Republican” by Inside Elections and “likely Republican” by the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
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Summary List Positioning